Wind ShadowstrikeTier 1
at MRC Massachusetts Regionals
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Ravishing Mill | 14.3% | 6 | 3-2-1 | 58.3% | 55.0% | 52.5% | +1.3 |
| Fire Aggro | 11.9% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 36.0% | -10.5 |
| Wind Allies | 11.9% | 5 | 2-3-0 | 40.0% | 44.4% | 48.5% | -0.8 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 9.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.9% | +2.8 |
| Water Allies | 7.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.5% | -0.4 |
| Fire Erupting | 4.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.8% | -1.2 |
| Slimes | 4.8% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 64.5% | +13.9 |
| Fire Arcane | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 2.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.6% | +15.3 |
| Norm Tera Silvie | 2.4% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.4% | +3.3 |
| Water Crux Mage | 2.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.8% | +10.8 |
| Water Crux Merlin | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Diana | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 2.4% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 46.0% | -3.8 |
| Wind Slimes | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 6 from this event
The 6 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 3 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 3 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
Winners more often ran: Reclaim, Dungeon Guide, Windmill Engineer. Losers more often ran: Shifting Mirage, Shimmercloak Assassin, Reprogram.
Show all 52 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 40 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reclaim | +1.00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| Dungeon Guide | +1.00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| Shifting Mirage | -1.00 | 0 | 3 | 0 | |
| Windmill Engineer | +1.00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| Eternal Magistrate | +1.00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fairy Whispers | +1.00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| Sadi, Blood Harvester | +1.00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tristan, Shadowreaver | +1.00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| Mastermind Scheme | +1.00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| Dream Fairy | +1.00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| Shadeblood Coating | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Grim Foreboding | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Curved Dagger | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Scout the Land | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Veiling Breeze | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Gearstride Gloves | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| Idle Thoughts | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Imperial Spy | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Backup Charger | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Favorable Winds | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Verdigris Decree | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Exploit Vulnerability | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Dusksoul Stone | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Cloaked Executioner | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Incapacitate | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| Tariff Ring | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Betraying Blade | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Malignant Athame | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Thieving Cut | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Gloamspire Headhunter | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Corhazi Outlook | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Sirocco Operative | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Haunting Demise | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Vicious Slice | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Gloamspire Mantle | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Shimmercloak Assassin | -0.33 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Sable Remnant | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Stifling Trap | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Shadow Resonance | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Reprogram | -0.33 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Innervate Agility | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Cleansing Reunion | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sharpen Blade | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Extortion Scheme | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Zephyr | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Slice and Dice | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Arrow Trap | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Poisoned Dagger | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Ensnaring Fumes | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Assassin's Ripper | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |